FC St. Pauli – Borussia Dortmund prediction & tips 01.03.2025
FC St. Pauli
VS
Borussia Dortmund
Starting in
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MATCH ABOUT TO START
Millerntor-Stadion
Hamburg
FC St. Pauli – Borussia Dortmund prediction & tips 01.03.2025
FC St. Pauli and Borussia Dortmund are set to clash in a crucial Bundesliga encounter on Saturday, March 1, 2025, at the Millerntor-Stadion. The match, scheduled for 15:30, marks the 24th matchday of the season and promises to be an intriguing battle between two teams with contrasting fortunes. St. Pauli, currently languishing in 14th place with 21 points, will be looking to upset the odds against 11th-placed Dortmund, who have amassed 29 points thus far.
Our betting prediction for FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund
Our primary betting tip for this encounter leans towards an away win for Borussia Dortmund. Despite their underwhelming league position, Dortmund’s superior quality and historical dominance in this fixture make them favorites. The best odds for this outcome can be found at 1win, offering 2.06 for a Dortmund victory.
Our second betting prediction suggests that both teams will score. Given the attacking prowess of Dortmund and St. Pauli’s need to secure points in their fight against relegation, we anticipate an open game with goals at both ends. Paripesa provides the most attractive odds for this market, with 1.67 for « Yes » in the Both Teams to Score category.
Our tips
There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 4 of FC St. Pauli’s last 4 matches.
There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 5 of Borussia Dortmund’s last 6 matches.
There have been under 4.5 goals scored in 4 of FC St. Pauli’s last 4 matches.
There have been under 4.5 goals scored in 6 of Borussia Dortmund’s last 6 matches.
FC St. Pauli have won or lost 3 of their last 4 matches.
Borussia Dortmund have won or lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
FC St. Pauli – Fighting for Survival
FC St. Pauli find themselves in a precarious position as they approach this crucial fixture against Borussia Dortmund. With just 21 points from 22 matches, the Hamburg-based club sits perilously close to the relegation zone. Their recent form has been a mixed bag, with two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their last five outings across all competitions.
The Kiezkicker’s home record this season has been particularly concerning, with only two wins, three draws, and six defeats at the Millerntor-Stadion. This poor home form has undoubtedly contributed to their struggles in the league, and they will need to improve significantly if they hope to avoid the drop.
In their most recent outing, St. Pauli suffered a disappointing 1-0 home defeat to SC Freiburg, further denting their confidence. The loss highlighted the team’s ongoing struggles in front of goal, having scored just 18 times in 22 league matches – the third-lowest tally in the Bundesliga.
Manager Alexander Blessin faces a significant challenge in turning the team’s fortunes around. The former Genoa coach, known for his high-pressing tactical approach, will need to find a way to balance defensive solidity with attacking threat if St. Pauli are to climb the table and secure their Bundesliga status.
Borussia Dortmund – Underperforming Giants
Borussia Dortmund’s current league position of 11th is a far cry from their usual lofty standards. With 29 points from 22 matches, Die Schwarzgelben have endured a disappointing campaign by their own high expectations. Their recent form mirrors that of their opponents, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches across all competitions.
Dortmund’s away record this season has been particularly problematic, managing just two wins, two draws, and seven defeats on their travels. This poor away form has been a significant factor in their underwhelming league position and will need to be addressed if they hope to climb the table.
In their most recent fixture, Dortmund played out a goalless draw at home against Sporting CP in European competition. While the clean sheet will be a positive for manager Niko Kovač, the lack of goals will be a concern for a team that has traditionally been known for its attacking prowess.
Kovač, who took over the reins at the Signal Iduna Park at the start of the season, has struggled to implement his tactical vision consistently. Known for his adaptable approach and emphasis on defensive organization, the Croatian coach will be hoping that his side can find their rhythm in the crucial final third of the season.
Last Direct Encounter
The most recent meeting between these two sides resulted in a 2-1 home victory for Borussia Dortmund. This outcome aligns with the historical trend in this fixture, with Dortmund generally holding the upper hand.
H2H Stats
Looking at the head-to-head record over the last five encounters across all competitions, Borussia Dortmund’s dominance becomes even more apparent. The Yellow and Blacks have emerged victorious on four occasions, with St. Pauli managing just one win and no draws between the sides.
Performance
Last games
2024-12-07T15:30:00+0100
Matchdaybig13
Leverkusen_2:1_St. Pauli
« >
2024-12-14T18:30:00+0100
Matchdaybig14
St. Pauli_0:2_Werder
« >
2024-12-21T15:30:00+0100
Matchdaybig15
Stuttgart_0:1_St. Pauli
« >
2025-01-11T15:30:00+0100
Matchdaybig16
St. Pauli_0:1_E. Frankfurt
« >
2025-01-15T18:30:00+0100
Matchdaybig17
Bochum_1:0_St. Pauli
« >
2025-01-18T15:30:00+0100
Matchdaybig18
Heidenheim_0:2_St. Pauli
« >
2025-01-26T17:30:00+0100
Matchdaybig19
St. Pauli_3:0_Union Berlin
« >
2025-02-01T15:30:00+0100
Matchdaybig20
St. Pauli_1:1_Augsburg
« >
2025-02-09T17:30:00+0100
Matchdaybig21
RB Leipzig_2:0_St. Pauli
« >
2025-02-15T15:30:00+0100
Matchdaybig22
St. Pauli_0:1_Freiburg
« >
FC St. Pauli performance of the last 4 home matches
Last games
2025-01-14T18:30:00+0100
Matchdaybig17
Holstein Kiel_4:2_Dortmund
« >
2025-01-17T20:30:00+0100
Matchdaybig18
E. Frankfurt_2:0_Dortmund
« >
2025-01-21T21:00:00+0100
Ligaphase
Bologna_2:1_Dortmund
« >
2025-01-25T15:30:00+0100
Matchdaybig19
Dortmund_2:2_Werder
« >
2025-01-29T21:00:00+0100
Ligaphase
Dortmund_3:1_S. Donezk
« >
2025-02-01T15:30:00+0100
Matchdaybig20
Heidenheim_1:2_Dortmund
« >
2025-02-08T15:30:00+0100
Matchdaybig21
Dortmund_1:2_Stuttgart
« >
2025-02-11T21:00:00+0100
Play-offs
Sporting CP_0:3_Dortmund
« >
2025-02-15T15:30:00+0100
Matchdaybig22
Bochum_2:0_Dortmund
« >
2025-02-19T18:45:00+0100
Play-offs
Dortmund_0:0_Sporting CP
« >
Borussia Dortmund performance of the last 6 away matches
Recent Form
Both teams have displayed inconsistent form in their last five fixtures. FC St. Pauli have recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats, while Borussia Dortmund mirror this record with two victories, one draw, and two losses of their own.
Latest Results
FC St. Pauli’s most recent outing ended in a 1-0 home defeat to SC Freiburg, highlighting their ongoing struggles at the Millerntor-Stadion. Borussia Dortmund, on the other hand, played out a goalless draw at home against Sporting CP in their last fixture, showcasing their defensive improvements but also their difficulties in front of goal.
Best Odds and Betting Tips
For this Bundesliga clash, the best odds for an away win for Borussia Dortmund can be found at 1win, offering 2.06. A draw is priced at 3.83 with the same bookmaker, while a home victory for St. Pauli stands at 3.73.
Our experience working with numerous bookmakers and betting sites in the industry allows us to provide informed and reliable betting tips. In this case, we believe that Borussia Dortmund’s superior quality and historical dominance in this fixture make them the likely winners, despite their underwhelming season so far.
For those looking to enhance their potential returns, considering a handicap bet on Dortmund could be a viable option. Additionally, given the average of 2.45 goals per game in their recent head-to-head encounters, a bet on over 2.5 goals could also prove profitable.
It’s worth noting that many betting sites with welcome bonuses offer attractive signup offers for new customers. These welcome bonus sites often provide freebet credits upon first deposit, which can be an excellent way to start your betting journey with reduced risk.
Conclusion
In conclusion, while both FC St. Pauli and Borussia Dortmund have struggled this season, we believe Dortmund’s superior quality and historical dominance in this fixture will prove decisive. Their need for points to climb the table, combined with St. Pauli’s poor home record, makes an away win the most likely outcome.
However, given St. Pauli’s desperation to avoid relegation and Dortmund’s defensive vulnerabilities, we anticipate an open game with both teams finding the net. As always, we encourage responsible gambling and remind readers that odds are subject to change.
Current Standing
POS
TEAM
PTS
MP
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
1
1
FC Bayern München
55
22
17
4
1
65
19
46
2
2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
47
22
13
8
1
49
27
22
3
3
Eintracht Frankfurt
42
22
12
6
4
49
29
20
5
4
SC Freiburg
39
23
12
3
8
34
36
-2
4
5
RB Leipzig
37
22
10
7
5
36
29
7
6
6
1. FSV Mainz 05
35
22
10
5
7
35
24
11
7
7
VfB Stuttgart
35
22
10
5
7
40
33
7
8
8
Borussia Mönchengladbach
34
22
10
4
8
35
32
3
9
9
VfL Wolfsburg
33
22
9
6
7
45
36
9
10
10
SV Werder Bremen
30
23
8
6
9
35
47
-12
11
11
Borussia Dortmund
29
22
8
5
9
37
38
-1
12
12
FC Augsburg
28
22
7
7
8
24
35
-11
13
13
1. FC Union Berlin
24
22
6
6
10
21
29
-8
14
14
FC St. Pauli
21
22
6
3
13
18
25
-7
15
15
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
21
22
5
6
11
29
45
-16
16
16
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
14
22
4
2
16
25
45
-20
17
17
VfL Bochum 1848
14
22
3
5
14
21
46
-25
18
18
Holstein Kiel
13
22
3
4
15
34
57
-23
Legend
- Champions League
- Europa League
- Europa Conference League Quali.
- Relegation play-off
- Relegation
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